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#61
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Elemire, I think it's really crucial to reread Britta and Flordel's comments even if you disagree with mine. Pollution, all the waste being dumped into the ocean is having a terrible effect...... Over-irrigation, mining, erosion, then you add countries which are huge consumers and throw-away societies like the U.S. with their cartons of fast-food plastics and mountainsides of disposable waste we discard on a daily basis, and countries like China which has almost zero concern for the environment. It is a hidden secret that many non-Chinese Americans will not! buy food made from China...and many Asians secretly accuse China of mislabeling their products as "made in Thailand, made in Korea", etc. just because they know a lot of Asians will not!! buy food exported from China so the Chinese slap on a fake label....
Also Elemire, NYC has top anthropology and Natural History museums and I'm sure in Britain especially there's outstanding museums as well. National Geographic, NOVA, Scientific American are contributed from scientists from Harvard, Cornell, CalTech, MIT, and all over the world, some of the top institutions. All the museums and these institutions are very consistent in their theories and studies of the earth and geology and talk in depth about theories that Britta has already tried to explain to you. By the way, ask Flordel how long that snow lasted as well. I am thinking the overall season was far shorter than previous years. Remember snow is a very complex issue. Hope Britta will cover the concepts behind snow and how melting glaciers can actually send down a few brief spells of seemingly intense snow precipitation...Also you can have as hot of a weather as 32 degrees F and still have snow. For example the one time in 8 years we had deep snow (in 2010) it went as high as 5' of softly falling snow!! but! the snow vanished within 2-1/2 days, lol! This type of Freak snow does not count. The rest of the year we had zilch except for one 6" snow that again lasted less than a day, lol! Not exactly the raging blizzards we used to get when I was a kid.... As for the logging--pine and evergreen hardwoods! The historic photos of Perm 36 were covered with evergreens. Evergreens are superior woods in those altitudes because they are harder, tougher. than the typical deciduous softwoods. Look at the historical photos of that region...Evergreen hardwoods.... Photos to me on the Himalayas are of the same elevation if you study the mounding of the foreground in relation to the mountains toward the rear...There were no trees there back in 1922. Also 1922 versus 2012 that's NINETY YEARS, Elemire, plenty of time for a tree to grow and take over a new region when global warming hits. And you still didn't address the significant change from Mt. Everest at May 1922 versus April 2012 and what a huge difference the snow was....And people who live in the Himalayas are! very concerned about their climate changes too. They are the ones living there and talking about it! You are ignoring the ones who are suffering.... They've lived in their tightly knit societies for centuries unlike us who move from place to place and experience different climates and are not tied to the land....Also you may note that the real farmers in the U.S., those actually working the land have a lot of environmental concerns. The American Border Collie folks who have real sheepdogs are "leftist" they are very concerned about conservation and preserving the land....It's the conglomerates who don't care a whit and are busy pumping their animals full of unnatural hormones invented by the corporation scientist that sold out (which my Dad refers to), as opposed to spending time to research the long-term health effects. Also remember every corporation hires its own pseudo-scientist to get certain legislation revoked and to bring more lobbying power. Getting back to roses, there's the Giant Corporation Bayer which produces not only pesticides, fungicides but also pharmaceuticals, billions of dollars in profits-- they are also the most popular American insecticide and fungicide company especially with regard to rose gardeners. Well, Bayer shut down any environmental group from petitioning EPA to stop producing Sevin, which has been already outlawed in Europe, Australia and Canada....EPA handed down the final approval edict, and told the rest of us to sit down and shut up when we warned how damaging Sevin was to the honeybee population....To this day, rows upon rows of Sevin line the shelves of our gardening stores....Now they are developing a lawn coverage which uses Sevin too! I am so angry I get ulcers just thinking about it. P.S. there is an interesting article from a Swiss scientist on the alps that covers 50 years up to the year 1996....Very! objective, clear and detailed...But if you wait next week I'll do some more digging up of more quality readings...or perhaps Britta can chip in and send in these scientific research and the methodology used. Science is this way, it gradually builds and builds until finally they realize yes, there is really something dramatic going on and that we need to take note.... http://www.unige.ch/climate/Publicat...ston/CC97B.pdf My links and others show the lack of snow was the entire autumn up through December 1st for sure, and I think! not until Flordel's time was there a break in the dearth and afterwards some places in Europe were able to normalize a bit better.... Here is the video from Reutgers... http://travel.usatoday.com/destinati...ing/52275090/1 For U.S. we were far unluckier...Many of states never did get snow...Some were Finally! able to get snow after the 1st week of January but it's just a scattering of sections. The fact that there was such a drastic change still says something isn't right.... http://travel.nytimes.com/2012/01/15...e-to-look.html
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www.galileomediaservices.com My moniker: The Lumpy Lopsided Gardener... Last edited by SerenaSYH; 9th May 2012 at 10:35 PM. |
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#62
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Hows the baby roses Serena?
Hope you managed to plant them in between. ![]() I fear my ability of discussing world climate will be a bit impaired after the weekend... by the zombies... or rather, a Diablo III release. We have some commercial plans for that one with a team, so I am likely to be a bit busy with a different kind of research. Oh well, someone has to pay for all the plants. ![]() Quote:
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Perm however is not that far North, it is on the South West edge of the taiga. Grass is also pretty normal thing where there is enough sun, as well as wild raspberries - which are particularly good in those places by the way, as well as blueberries (which grow mostly in the forest). Here are a few picture from the 1910 in Perm (which is close to the lagers as the names suggest): http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...%281910%29.jpg http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...%281910%29.jpg Plenty of the softwood and grass growing there. ![]() Quote:
Also there is another clue, if you look closely at the inscription of the older photo, it says "A High Camp in the Himalayas at 18.000 ft, Bellow Kangchenjunga". 18.000 ft is about 5500 meters, when a tree line normally ends somewhere at around 4000-4500 meters in Himalaya. That's a kilometer and a half difference, so it is definitely not possible. Quote:
Besides that, the majority of the common folks in those areas are illiterate and uneducated, which also adds to the problems and poverty. Quote:
P.S. I do not have a time to read the Swis article at the moment, so about that later.
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My roses Last edited by elemire; 10th May 2012 at 03:35 PM. |
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#63
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Interesting discussions here, good to read people thinking about the issues even if people don't agree with each other.
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#64
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A few things have interested me. One is the anthropology side track, dh read arch and anth and have to say that we agreed last night talking about us it would be concerning were applicants being informed rather than intrigued by tv shows of what ever calibre, these things might be the spark that ignites a passion for actual learning...not learning themselves. Although neither of us work in academia anymore, one side of the family does, so we are fairly in touch both with academia and the academics of the type who research and front some science shows. Science can be simplified yet true, but interpreted poorly. My take on all enviro concerns is that i do not know for sure and neither do the experts: there is still disagreement though most concurr with global warming and associated devastation. Thus, it seems prudent to not pollute, even if its 'too late' or 'not contributory enough' its not justification for me to not make things worse. One cannot live a totally eco sensitive life in a modern society without significant sacrifice. For us, we are eco impacting in many ways...we have more land and house than is ecologically fair, for example, and more pets. We buy things from overseas, and commute for work and travel. But we aim to make the wreck carbon neutral, a big undertaking with an old property, and make other concessions. We produce far lass rubbish than the average household, dh rents a room near work to cut down on commuting etc etc. we do not have children sadly, but had decided that if we did we would only have one, for population reasons. we own only one car, unusual in a rural community like ours. There is no need to risk making a problem significantly worse than we have to. |
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#65
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Continuation from the previous post, as it said it was too long essay. :P
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In the first picture according to the description is 8326 meter high, which is close to the summit. The second picture however is on the trek to Everest Base Camp in Nepal, which is at 5380 m. That's a 3 kilometer difference! The student expedition of 2012 did not even reach further than Camp IV afaik, which is at 7920 m, so it can't even be the same place at all. Besides that, 1922 expedition used a Northern route via Tibet, when the 2012 one is using Southern route via Nepal. Also if you compare the Base camp picture of 1922 (or close to it) http://static.7summits.ru/media/middle/4/20216.jpg or http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/...tion-a-008.jpg it also is pretty bare. Or the whole view of the base camp in Tibet in 1922: http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lv...0lqqo1_500.jpg It is of course not the Nepal one, but it is around the same altitude, so can serve for a general comparison. Quote:
In summary, it also says, that the climate shift is observed only in the lower altitudes, and stops being significant at the altitudes higher than ~1500 m. (which is understandable, as there the atmosphere is much cooler and different than closer to the surface). It also says that most of it is related to the behavior of Atlantic ocean, which influences the most of the European weather - and the activity of the Atlantic mostly means the milder winters. However what I found more interesting in the article, were these few extracts: While the latter part of the 1980s received much media and public attention because of the economic consequences of the lack of snow during those winters, the data presented here show that there have been periods in the record where snow depth or duration were as low as during the 1980s. Records prior to 1945, not illustrated here, indicate that many mountain stations experienced sparse snow conditions in the 1930s (e.g., Beniston et al., 1994). These events went relatively unnoticed because at that time the ski industry was only a minor income earner for mountain communities. In the 1960s, however, ski resorts were investing heavily in infrastructure at a time when snow was relatively abundant, so that changes relative to the 1960s baseline are the ones which have generated most of the economic adversity for these resorts and raised public concern as to a possible sign of global warming (Rebetez, 1996). and this one: The marked decrease in snow duration from 1988–1990 is a particularly striking, although not unique, feature of the record; the late 1940s had significantly less snow and the trend towards durations exceeding 50% were not encountered until the late 1950s. Even the 1988–1992 episode did not see snow duration for the 50-cm threshold go below 50% of maximumpossible duration; compared to the years prior to this, where duration reached close to 90%, the decrease was perceived more accutely than the more systematic low snow amounts in the 1940s and 1950s, because of the economic significance snow had gained in the meantime. Which is general says, that in 30-ties and 40-ties snow was even less than it was in the end of 90-ties, at the time when the article was published. The article does not explain in detail the missing of snow at the beginning of the century, although it seems that the similar cycles of weather patterns have happened before. So what is to blame for the 30-ties, since the global warming wasn't at play then? Natural cycles? Are those natural cycles at play in the 90-ties? What % of the influence we can attribute to the natural cycle and what to the global warming? And that's where the global warming theory is at its weakest, because nobody knows the answer so far. What they can say so far is that something has happened, but not that something will happen - for example, at this point the hurricane season should start soonish, but they cannot tell how many and how strong storms there will be. I am sure, that if there will be strong storms, it will be global warming, if there isn't, it will be "just wait for the next year". But that's the point, it is very little known about the natural cycles of Atlantic. When you cannot create a model, which would generate more or less accurate prediction of the future weather patterns, the reversed reasoning has a big chance to be flawed, because you use the same measurements that did not allow you to predict the phenomena in the first place.
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My roses Last edited by elemire; 10th May 2012 at 03:45 PM. |
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#66
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Absolutely! at some point I had fear's of this thread being de-trolled again
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Now if one believes in the global warming theory or not or even has a different point of view. Fact is that we all should try to minimize our ecological footprint as much as possible - which means I personally should look into my rose spray concept again
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Relax - it's a hobby not a live and death situation!
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#67
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#68
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People these days...
It is even amazing in a way, that in the good 20 years of Internet use, people lost an ability to discuss some subjects, like religion, politics, and social issues to some extend. Apart of the few exceptions, it is practically impossible to talk about those issues online, because things will go wrong more or less on page 2 of the discussion, and around page 3 the loosing side will run to the moderators for the reinforcements. Considering that human society is based on communication, that is a significant issue.Quote:
I also think it is a part of the problem with the global warming theory, that it is very generic theory, based mostly on the temperature measurements and correlations with the greenhouse gas measurements, but with a pretense to explain ALL weather patterns in the world (and a couple of other unrelated things occasionally). That's a lot of conclusions based on very little data actually, considering the complexity of the climate. Well yes and no. The problem is that some species adapted to a human neighborhood, and a part of human activity is necessary to support the ecosystem. In the early conservation efforts they usually were forbidding all of the human activity in certain areas, but at times it was actually giving opposite results, because it harms the species that are adapted to the agricultural surroundings, etc. Even things like forest fires can be beneficial for some species, which are adapted for that kind of environment, and rely on high levels of ash to thrive.
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My roses Last edited by elemire; 10th May 2012 at 02:11 PM. |
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#69
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Lol, huge rush deadlines kept me swamped so no time yet to update the debate. Also Eluane's birthday was this week and I wanted to be sure to post her new birthday photos on my intro thread! She had such a fabulous time at the local nursery. Hahaha, Elemire, baby roses were definitely screaming bloody murder. I realize some were in tiny narrow disposable pots for over 3 weeks. They are all planted now, and resuscitated with the miracle Gardenville fertilizer. Roses go crazy over this stuff and they actually grew some more overnight, lol! One of the reasons why it took me so long was because I couldn't decide how to color-coordinate everything and kept changing my mind. Rabbits have also been circling my lawn like a bunch of fuzz-ball sharks, haha! So Eluane is busy warning them off. I sure hope they won't "jump over" and into my mesh enclosure, lol! But I loooove the plastic mesh. It is the coolest, most practical invention EVER! Well, when my deadlines are finished, I'll do some more researching, hehe!Gotta go sleep now....
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www.galileomediaservices.com My moniker: The Lumpy Lopsided Gardener... |
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#70
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I am sure this thread has stayed courteous and polite because I have not contributed anything. Global warming is a bit of a misnomer since it is my understanding that weather changes are going to include much wider fluctuations from the norm. Climate change is probably a less misleading term than GW and I think it is undeniable that climatic patterns are seriously perturbed. Yes, there have been cooling and warming periods in the past but with a significantly increased population, global finances, mass movement of people and technological changes, I have considerable concern for future generations. On a more mundane note, pigeons have eviscerated my entire cherry crop, I am battling peach leaf curl (and losing) and bloody leaf-curling plum aphid has mangled my young plums. Oh yeah, Zephirine Drouhin, the largest plant in my garden, is a complete disaster zone - chlorotic, plastered with ravenous aphids, poorly foliaged - makes me mortified by both the sight of such a pitiful plant and the slap to my reputation as mistress of the plant universe, a horticultural legend (at least in my own head).
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